This Pull-Out focuses on building
models to predict housing starts
(the number of new residential
construction projects) over time.
Students are given housing-starts data for
single-family homes, which is the largest
component of residential housing starts.
It turns out that housing starts for singlefamily
homes is a key economic indicator.
Long before the television news was
filled with reports of economic troubles,
declines in housing starts were pointing
in that direction.
Activity 1: Housing Starts—A Periodic Model
Activity 2: Housing Starts—A Linear Model
Activity 3: Housing Starts—Modeling Seasonal Trends